(NEXSTAR) – Drivers hoping to save their credit cards a beating at the pump this month saw the opposite Monday when the average price reached $3.47, the highest mark since 2014.

Several factors are combining to make a bleak start to the year even worse in February, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA).

The cold weather and fears that Russia might withhold crude oil in response to potential sanctions, sent the price of oil above $90 per barrel – $30 higher than it was in August 2021.

“Unfortunately it looks like the pain at the pump may continue to worsen, after oil prices saw another strong round of gains last week,” said Mark Jenkins, spokesman, AAA – The Auto Club Group. “The upward momentum in crude prices has been driven by geopolitical concerns related to Russia, cold weather and underwhelming global crude output. The price of crude rose $6 last week, which if sustained, could trigger another 10-15 cent hike at the pump in the coming weeks.”

The national average – which jumped by 14 cents in the past month alone – was nearly $1 cheaper at this time last year, according to AAA. Not one state was under $3 per gallon on average Monday, with Mississippi, the cheapest, at $3.085.

In the state of Florida, the average cost for a fill-up is $52 for a 15-gallon tank.

Some states saw bigger jumps in price than others over the last week. The top 10 largest weekly increases happened in Michigan (+15 cents), Ohio (+14 cents), Florida (+12 cents), Indiana (+11 cents), Minnesota (+11 cents), Delaware (+11 cents), Maryland (+10 cents), Illinois (+9 cents), Wisconsin (+9 cents) and Kansas (+9 cents).

Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy, says that despite the spike, gas prices should actually go down by a few cents this week, however, thanks to a phenomenon known as price cycling.

“Price cycling is common in MI, IN, OH, IL, WV, KY, FL and some metro markets like St. Louis, Kansas City, Atlanta, etc.,” De Haan tweeted. “Prices surge, then stations start undercutting, leading to a big spike then ebb.”

As for who is to blame for the rising prices, De Haan cautions against believing political spin, tweeting, “any politician that suggests that they can stop gas prices from moving is at best uneducated and at worst lying to you.”

So how bad will prices get in 2022?

De Hann told Nexstar that the specter of a $4-a-gallon national average by Memorial Day appears more likely thanks to the current Russia-Ukraine tension, at least right now.

If there’s any hope for cheaper gas, it could potentially happen around mid or late summer, De Haan said, adding that the number of combining factors make firm predictions tough at the moment.

For those curious, the record high in Florida for a state average was $4.08 in July 2008.

As of Monday, the top ten cheapest states according to AAA were:

Mississippi $3.085
Arkansas $3.097
Texas $3.106
Missouri $3.114
Oklahoma $3.114
Kentucky $3.132
Tennessee $3.147
Alabama $3.158
Kansas $3.159
Louisiana $3.178

The top ten most expensive (including Washington D.C.) were:

California $4.680
Hawaii $4.405
Washington $3.955
Oregon $3.930
Nevada $3.862
Alaska $3.780
Arizona $3.643
District of Columbia $3.627
Illinois $3.618
Pennsylvania $3.614

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